My opinion of the Islamic State (IS) as the new phase of religious extremism, intolerance and terrorism published by Daily Times, however, for reasons best known to its editors, they have removed IS from the title as well as text. ISIS which they use is no more, its IS now. ISIS was limited to Iraq and Syria, which has now transformed into IS, unlimited by any geographic state boundary. Click anywhere above for the published (and edited version).
Read below the unpublished original write up
IS; The New Phase of Violent Extremist Challenge
Read below the unpublished original write up
IS; The New Phase of Violent Extremist Challenge
Islamic
State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) or Da’esh in Arabic, now ‘Islamic State (IS), claims
to be a Muslim Khilafat, occupying the states of Syria and Iraq as a first
step, to be followed by occupation states of the Levant, (Jordan, Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Cyprus and Turkey),
finally encompassing the whole of Muslim World. IS is the latest stage in the
continuous, increasing and spreading process of Religious extremism; a more
lethal challenge to peace and stability.
Although,
it has roots in much earlier movements and thoughts, the current extremism
turning terrorist can be traced to the ‘Afghan Jihad’ of 1980s. Afghan Jihad
provided a meeting ground for religious extremists from all over the world,
especially the Arab Middle East, with international state patronage, that
included USA, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, besides others. Osama Bin Laden (OBL)
and Abu Musab Al Zarqawi were among those many Arabs who came to Afghanistan
during that time. Most returned to Afghanistan starting mid 1990s after finding
it difficult to survive or bring revolutions in their home countries. OBL with
more financial resources besides organizational capabilities organized Al
Qaeda, bringing together various national and localized Jihadists together. These
organizations targeted USA, West as well as their own states. Al Qaeda became
the most important organization with status of an international umbrella for
these Jihadis.
Al-Zarqawi, kept his distance and independent
identity from OBL, while avoiding any conflict. Zarqawi maaintained a separate
base in Afghanistan and formed his own organization named, Jamat Al Tawhid Al
Jihad. In 2004, he moved to Iraq, and had an arrangement with Al Qaeda. Al
Zaqawi operated in Iraq under the name of Al Qaeda in the land of two rivers;
also known as Al Qaeda in Iraq. Aligning with other Jihadi groups in Iraq he
formed Majlis Shura Al Mujahidin (MSM) in 2006, gradually distancing from Al
Qaeda.
Al
Qaeda considers the US and the West to be the main target with the Muslim
rulers aligned to west as second. Al Qaeda also considered attacking ordinary
Muslims who may not be practicing Islam strictly as not a good strategy. IS and
its predecessors are Takfiris; believing they have the right to declare non-practicing
Mulims as Kafirs and thus legitimate targets of Islamic Jihad. They also gave
priority to bring Islamic revolutions in Muslim countries than fighting the
West. Al Zarqawi came closer to Al Qaeda, and led ‘Al Qaeda in Iraq’ against US,
Shias, and declared Sunnis not agreeing with its interpretation as Kafirs.
Though Al Zarqawi died in June 2006, his movement continued under its new
leader Abu Hamza Al Muhajir. In October 2006, Islamic State of Iraq (ISI) was
announced, marking the start of open break with Al Qaeda. Abu Umar Al Baghdadi,
an ally of Zarqawi in MSM, became the first Amir of IS succeeded by Abu Bakr Al
Baghdadi after his death on 16 May 2010. Abu Bakr Al Baghdadi is known for
leading an extremely violent movement of his own against Shias, non-fundamentalist
Sunnis and foreign troops in Iraq before joining MSM and then heading ISI.
Though
Al Qaeda and ISI continued cooperation, strains in there relations were also
emerging. Al Qaeda was more for continuing the struggle without taking control
of territory, ISI tried to get hold of territory in Iraq. The collapse of
Syrian state as well as other states due to various popular movements,
supported by the West and even the conservative Arab Monarchies provided a
space, which Al Nusra exploited to push forward its
strategy and approach to Jihad. Most of Al Nusra later joined of ISI to form
ISIS in 2013. Its takeover of Mosul earlier this year (2014) brought it in international
limelight. In June 2014, ISIS declared itself as ‘Islamic State’ (IS) and Al
Baghdadi as Khalifa.
IS works
ideologically more cohesively than Al Qaeda, but organizationally it remains
quite loose. It appeals to all those who agree with its approach to religion
and Jihad, to act on their own without waiting for much central planning and
control. IS considers, central planning and structure will emerge with time out
of local actions of those agreeing with its ultimate aim of establishing an
Islamic Khilafat. IS challenges the current state structures and boundaries. It
appeals to those already active under different names in different Muslim or
non Muslim States. IS thrives on the vacuum created by collapsing Muslim
States, relying on the belief and strength of existing organized committed
Jihadi groups, or attracting activists from them to form new structures.
Although, Al Qaeda
still holds allegiance of most Jihadi outfits in Afghanistan and Pakistan, IS
is fast challenging it. TTP’s announcement of support, followed by announcement
of 06 TTP commanders of allegiance to IS, is the first step towards a shift
away from Al Qaeda. Al Qaeda has been critical of the violent means targeting
other sects of Muslims by Jihadi groups of Afghanistan and Pakistan. The
Takfiri ideology of IS appears to be closer to many such groups in this region,
including the Sectarian organizations of Pakistan, many in TTP and even Taliban
of Afghanistan. The odds of most of these, as organizations, as breakaway
groups or individuals, attracted to the more violent IS are very strong. The increasing
statelessness in Pakistan and continued challenge of State building in Afghanistan
is creating welcoming space for IS. IS is the new face of violent Islamists,
targeting State structures in the whole of Larger Middle East for control.
A large number of
Muslim Clergy, including those agreeing with anti American and anti West
program, but not with the methodology of various Jihadis, have condemned IS and
its proclamation of Khilafat as well as its Takfiri approach. We may see a new
polarization in the Muslim World, splitting Al Qaeda with some of it attracted
towards IS and some towards the non-violent political pan Islamists. The
weakening State establishments in their own right are also opposed to this new
threat. In this whole polarization, the liberal democratic or left voices have
no or much less space. However, this conflict within Islamists must not be
exaggerated, as Political Pan Islamists initially did not approve of Al Qaeda
and both initially did not approve of Taliban, but all ended up cooperating.
The difference was who is in leading position. They may again find reason to
cooperate after their initial conflict over leadership is over, probably this
time in favor of IS.
The International
coalition formed by US, of which some Arab States are also a part have started
a war, that also marks a new phase in the post 9/11 ‘War against Terrorism’.
Wary of the experience of ground engagement in Afghanistan and Iraq, the West
does not feel ready to get involved directly. The action plan of aerial
bombardments has a chance of not just weakening the IS, but also of further weakening
the states in which IS will be targeted, as well as those states that are
cooperating directly or indirectly in this ‘War’. This new challenge hitting at
the root of the State system of the larger Middle East seems beyond the
capability of these weakening States. Direct intervention by non-regional
powers may also create violence that is much more widespread and destruction
only matched by their non-intervention or the current planned indirect and
remote intervention.
One can find many causes,
accuse even more for it, and endlessly debate on it, but the challenge, more
comprehensive and lethal than its predecessors, has arrived
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